Key Takeaways:
- The five most popular transport and logistics courses accounted for approximately 73% of TLI qualification enrolments in 2025, with supply chain, driving and rail training dominating demand.
- Qualification replacements within the transport and logistics training package can affect enrolment trends, making comparisons across predecessor and replacement codes essential for accurate growth analysis.
- Demand for a Certificate IV in transport and logistics varies by specialisation, with motor vehicle driver training recording growth while supply chain operations declined.
- Funding arrangements across the TLI training package vary considerably, with government-funded and fee-for-service enrolments influencing the commercial viability of different qualifications.
- High enrolments per registered RTO can indicate promising opportunities for transport and logistics courses, but provider competition, local employer demand and delivery requirements remain important considerations.
Learner demand for transport and logistics courses is concentrated in a relatively small number of qualifications. According to NCVER’s 2025 data, the TLI training package recorded approximately 36,355 qualification enrolments, down 23.8% from 2024. However, several qualifications continue to attract substantial enrolments despite the broader decline.
For RTOs reviewing the transport and logistics training package, enrolment volume is only one measure of demand. Year-on-year growth, funding sources and enrolments relative to registered providers can reveal where demand is strongest and which qualifications may present opportunities for future delivery.
Which TLI Qualifications Attracted the Most Enrolments in 2025?
Demand within the transport and logistics training package is unevenly distributed. Just five qualifications accounted for approximately 73% of TLI enrolments in 2025, indicating that a handful of established pathways dominate the market while specialist programs operate at a much smaller scale.
For RTOs, this concentration matters because high enrolment volumes indicate an established market, but declining participation, funding dependence and delivery requirements can substantially affect whether a qualification is commercially worthwhile.
| Qualification | 2025 Enrolments | Year-on-Year Change | Government-Funded | Domestic Fee-for-service | International Fee-for-service |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLI30325 Certificate III in Supply Chain Operations | 9,285 | ↓ 16% | 44% | 55% | 0.70% |
| TLI31222 Certificate III in Driving Operations | 7,635 | ↓ 33% | 45% | 55% | 0.07% |
| TLI27121 Certificate II in Rail Infrastructure | 4,075 | ↓ 32% | 20% | 80% | 0.12% |
| TLI42622 Certificate IV in Train Driving | 3,125 | ↓ 10% | 10% | 90% | 0% |
| TLI20421 Certificate II in Supply Chain Operations | 2,795 | ↓ 15% | 81% | 19% | 0% |
| TLI41225 Certificate IV in Motor Vehicle Driver Training | 1,640 | ↑ 23% | 5% | 95% | 0% |
| TLI50224 Diploma of Logistics | 950 | ↓ 0.5% | 29% | 50% | 21% |
| TLI21921 Certificate II in Track Protection | 760 | ↓ 58% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| TLI40324 Certificate IV in Supply Chain Operations | 620 | ↓ 9% | 79% | 20% | 0.81% |
Source: NCVER Data Builder
Supply chain and driving operations account for much of the activity, while rail qualifications retain a substantial share of specialised training demand. However, most qualifications in the ranking recorded declining enrolments, with Certificate IV in Motor Vehicle Driver Training a notable exception, making longer-term trends important for interpreting demand.
Which Transport and Logistics Courses Are Actually Growing?
Comparing TLI training packages across release years requires care because qualification replacements can distort growth figures. Assessing predecessor and replacement codes together provides a clearer picture of sustained demand.
Supply Chain Operations Remains the Largest Market
Certificate III in Supply Chain Operations recorded a combined enrolment decline of approximately 16%. Its scale remains significant, but the broader trend indicates a contracting qualification market.
Certificate IV and Specialist Qualifications Show Different Patterns
For RTOs exploring a Certificate IV in transport and logistics, demand varies considerably between specialisations.
Certificate IV in Motor Vehicle Driver Training recorded combined growth of approximately 22.8%. Meanwhile, Certificate IV in Supply Chain Operations declined by approximately 8.8%.
Other notable changes include:
- TLI50822 Diploma of Customs Broking: Enrolments grew 208.9%, indicating stronger demand for customs broking qualifications.
- TLI20221 Certificate II in Road Transport Terminal Operations: Growth of 92.2% suggests increasing interest in this operational specialisation.
- TLI33122 Certificate III in Rail Customer Service: Enrolments increased 57.8%, contrasting with declines across several other rail qualifications.
These trends show that opportunities for transport and logistics courses extend beyond the highest-volume qualifications. However, growth from a smaller base should be assessed against employer demand and delivery feasibility.
How Does Funding Affect TLI Training Package Demand?
Funding arrangements provide another perspective on demand across the transport and logistics training package. In 2025, approximately 64% of TLI qualification enrolments were domestic fee-for-service, 35% were government-funded and 1% were international fee-for-service.
The funding mix differs considerably across qualifications.
- Government-funded Training: TLI20421 Certificate II in Supply Chain Operations has a particularly high government-funded share, suggesting greater exposure to subsidy arrangements and eligibility requirements.
- Domestic Fee-for-service Training: TLI42622 Certificate IV in Train Driving and TLI41225 Certificate IV in Motor Vehicle Driver Training are dominated by domestic fee-for-service enrolments.
- International Fee-for-service Training: International activity is limited overall but features in qualifications such as TLI50224 Diploma of Logistics and TLI60222 Advanced Diploma of Supply Chain Management.
These differences affect the commercial viability of transport and logistics courses. RTOs should consider whether demand is driven by government subsidies, employer-funded training or individual learners, while confirming current funding eligibility before expanding their offerings.
Which TLI Qualifications Have the Highest Enrolments per RTO?
Comparing enrolments with the number of registered providers offers an indication of where transport and logistics courses have relatively strong demand against their potential competition.
The following qualifications recorded the highest notable enrolment-to-provider ratios among the qualifications examined:
| Qualification | 2025 enrolments | RTOs with Scope | Enrolments per RTO |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLI42622 Certificate IV in Train Driving | 3,125 | 22 | 142 |
| TLI30325 Certificate III in Supply Chain Operations | 9,285 | 82 | 113 |
| TLI27121 Certificate II in Rail Infrastructure | 4,075 | 36 | 113 |
| TLI31222 Certificate III in Driving Operations | 7,635 | 80 | 95 |
*Provider counts were taken from training.gov.au. Ratios divide 2025 enrolments by currently registered providers, so they are indicative market measures rather than actual provider averages.
These qualifications present potentially high-opportunity, low-competition areas that RTOs may want to investigate. Their relatively high enrolment-to-provider ratios suggest concentrated training activity and fewer registered providers relative to demand.
However, rail qualifications often require specialist resources, industry access and established employer relationships. A smaller provider pool may reflect these barriers, so high ratios don’t necessarily indicate unmet learner demand.
What Should RTOs Consider Before Expanding TLI Delivery?
Enrolment trends can help identify opportunities, but decisions about offering new transport and logistics courses should consider delivery requirements alongside market demand. Before expanding, RTOs should assess:
- Demand and Competition: Compare qualification enrolments, local employer requirements and registered provider coverage.
- Funding and Commercial Viability: Examine applicable subsidies, course delivery costs and potential employer-funded demand.
- Training Product Requirements: Review current qualifications, assessment conditions, trainer capabilities and required facilities.
These checks can help RTOs distinguish between qualifications with promising enrolment trends and those that are commercially viable to deliver. Before committing to a new course, confirm that expected local demand justifies the investment in trainers, facilities and training resources. Where the evidence is uncertain, strengthening existing TLI training package offerings may be a more practical option.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the most popular transport and logistics courses in Australia?
The latest NCVER data shows that transport and logistics courses covering supply chain operations, driving operations and rail training attract the most enrolments. Demand varies by qualification and industry specialisation.
Are transport and logistics courses government funded?
Some qualifications within the transport and logistics training package qualify for government funding, depending on state or territory arrangements and learner eligibility. RTOs should confirm current funding requirements before offering subsidised training.
What is the difference between Certificate III and Certificate IV in transport and logistics?
Certificate III qualifications generally focus on operational skills, while a Certificate IV in transport and logistics may cover specialised or advanced responsibilities. Requirements vary by qualification and industry.
How can RTOs check whether TLI qualifications are current?
RTOs can check qualification status, replacement codes and training requirements on training.gov.au. When comparing TLI training packages across releases, they should also review equivalence information and transition arrangements.
How can RTOs identify opportunities to offer new transport and logistics courses?
RTOs should compare enrolment trends, local employer demand, funding availability and provider competition. Delivery costs, trainer availability and facilities also determine whether expanding transport and logistics courses is viable.
Turning Enrolment Trends Into Better Course Decisions
The latest TLI enrolment data shows that supply chain, driving operations and rail qualifications account for much of the market, while selected specialist qualifications are experiencing growth. For RTOs, identifying worthwhile opportunities requires comparing enrolments with funding arrangements, competition and delivery capacity.
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